Oriol Roca Batalla vs Francesco Passaro — Targu Mures Round of 32
Roca Batalla O.
Oriol Roca Batalla faces Francesco Passaro in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Francesco Passaro is the paper favourite — ranked #190, a roughly 180-point clay Elo advantage — but Oriol Roca Batalla arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Francesco Passaro's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Passaro F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Oriol Roca Batalla comes in with 1 days of rest and 164 games in 14d, vs Francesco Passaro's 6 and 16.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Francesco Passaro has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 58 vs 5).
- Surface form: Oriol Roca Batalla 7 of 10, Francesco Passaro 5 of 10 on clay recently — Oriol Roca Batalla the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadRoca Batalla O.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 71 games (7d) · Passaro F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.