Radu Albot vs Duje AjdukovicTargu Mures Round of 32

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#446ATP
1461ELO
1451Clay ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
clay
#282ATP
1475ELO
1457Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLLWLW
Albot R.
vs
Ajdukovic D.

Radu Albot faces Duje Ajdukovic in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Duje Ajdukovic is the paper favourite — ranked #282 — but Radu Albot arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 6 on clay to Duje Ajdukovic's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Albot R.37%
Ajdukovic D.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ajdukovic D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1451
Surface ELO
5.1+6 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1461
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

16 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Albot R.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Ajdukovic D.

Ajdukovic D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Albot R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
47
32
Break points saved·Dominant
85
59
Break points won·Clear edge
19
32
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
60
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
30
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Ajdukovic D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CShowers
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 87%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.