Sergey Fomin vs Max Alcala Gurri — Targu Mures Round of 32
Fomin S.
Sergey Fomin faces Max Alcala Gurri in the Targu Mures round of 32 on clay. Max Alcala Gurri holds the paper edge — ranked #272, a roughly 50-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Alcala Gurri M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Sergey Fomin 4 of 8, Max Alcala Gurri 7 of 8 on clay recently — Max Alcala Gurri the sharper of late.
- Win streak: Max Alcala Gurri arrives on a 5-match winning run.
- Fatigue load: Max Alcala Gurri carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadAlcala Gurri M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.