Andrej Nedic vs Sebastian Gima — Targu Mures Round of 16

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

BIH

Andrej Nedic

#277ATP

1492ELO

1483Clay ELO

21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLWWWWLW

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Sets

Wednesday, 24 June 2026 · 15:30

clay

ROU

Sebastian Gima

#537ATP

1133ELO

1139Clay ELO

24 yrs · Left-handed

Last 10

WLWLWLLLLL

Nedic A.

Gima S.

Andrej Nedic faces Sebastian Gima in the Targu Mures round of 16 on clay. Andrej Nedic holds the paper edge — ranked #277, a roughly 340-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC

Nedic A.85%

Gima S.15%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Nedic A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Andrej Nedic dropped just 3 games past Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros.
Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Nedic A.

6.9

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Gima S.

3.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

9.3+344 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

0.7Clay Elo 1139

9.5Overall Elo 1492

ELO gap

0.5Overall Elo 1133

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.48 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.54 of last 10 on clay

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Nedic A.Cooling

Gima S.Stableearly

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 8 matches

Statistics

This season

Nedic A.Gima S.

1st serve in·Slight edge

65%

60%

1st serve points won·Even

63%

67%

2nd serve points won·Even

50%

53%

Service points won·Even

59%

62%

Return points won·Slight edge

45%

37%

Break points saved·Even

51%

52%

Aces / match·Clear edge

2.0

3.5

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.5

3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Nedic A.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gima S.

Gima S.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Nedic A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Nedic A.Gima S.

Freshness·

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Gima S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

28°COvercast

Wind 6 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.