Qinwen Zheng vs Clara TausonBad Homburg Round of 16

Bad Homburg · WTA · Round of 16
#153WTA
1866ELO
1605Grass ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
#25WTA
1789ELO
1635Grass ELO
$741kYTD
$5.2MCAREER
23 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLLWLW
Zheng Q.
7-5 4-6 2-6
Tauson C.
Zheng Q.
7421
Tauson C.
5662

Clara Tauson fought back from a set down to beat Qinwen Zheng 5-7 6-4 6-2 in the Bad Homburg round of 16.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 12: Qinwen Zheng broke serve.
  • Set 3, game 1: Clara Tauson broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Qinwen Zheng converted 1 of 4 break points; Clara Tauson converted 3 of 6 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Zheng Q.
Tauson C.
Break points won
1/4
3/6
Break points saved
3/6
3/4

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Zheng Q.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tauson C.

Tauson C.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
40%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.4
7.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
71
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Slight edge
100
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
53
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTC
Zheng Q.54%
Tauson C.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1605
Surface ELO
5.4+30 Grass Elo edge
6.1Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1789
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.54 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
8.5Excels in hot weather
Heat performance

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
85

Zheng Q.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Tauson C.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 48%