Karolina Muchova vs Irina Camelia BeguBad Homburg Round of 16

Bad Homburg · WTA · Round of 16
#6WTA
2066ELO
1852Grass ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#464WTA
1769ELO
1634Grass ELO
35 yrs · 181 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLW
Muchova K.
6-1 6-1
Camelia Begu I.
Muchova K.
662
Camelia Begu I.
110

Karolina Muchova defeated Irina Camelia Begu 6-1, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the Bad Homburg grass tournament. Muchova converted 86% of her break points and won 63% of her first-serve points, while Begu converted 50% of her break points and won 32% of her first-serve points. Muchova secured six service breaks to Begu's one en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-15PalermoSFclayKarolina Muchova6-1 6-1
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR32clayKarolina Muchova6-3 6-2
2023-04-24MadridR64clayIrina Camelia Begu6-4 7-5
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayIrina Camelia Begu1-6 6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
70%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
53%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
62%
49%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
53
Break points saved·Dominant
90
16
Break points won·Even
87
85
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Muchova K.83%
Camelia Begu I.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Muchova K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+40 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Grass Elo 1498
8.5Overall Elo 1925
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1649
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.94 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw