Xiyu Wang vs Leylah FernandezBad Homburg Round of 16

Bad Homburg · WTA · Round of 16
#42WTA
1772ELO
1583Grass ELO
25 yrs · 182 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#34WTA
1805ELO
1661Grass ELO
$906kYTD
$8.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWLLLL
Wang X.
6-3 6-4
Fernandez L.
Wang X.
662
Fernandez L.
340

Xiyu Wang defeated Leylah Fernandez 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Bad Homburg grass tournament. Wang converted 75% of her break points and secured three service breaks, while Fernandez converted 33% of her break points and secured one service break. The match saw Wang hit one ace and two double faults, compared to one ace and four double faults for Fernandez.

Around the match

  • I was told it's beautiful here, and it is so.

    Fernandez L.FAZ
  • Because I want to and can. My training volume is still as large as before, my body can handle it. I don't know how long that will still be the case. Let's keep our fingers crossed.

    Fernandez L.FAZ

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Xiyu Wang closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Hong KongR32hardLeylah Fernandez6-1 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayLeylah Fernandez6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Clear edge
54%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
4
82
Break points saved·Dominant
40
77
Break points won·Dominant
33
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
6
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Wang X.34%
Fernandez L.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Fernandez L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Grass Elo 1471
Surface ELO
5.5+36 Grass Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1695
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.14 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
74
83

Wang X.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Fernandez L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw