Xiyu Wang vs Elina Svitolina — Bad Homburg Quarter-final

Bad Homburg · WTA · Quarter-final
Xiyu Wang
CHN
Xiyu Wang
#42WTA
1772ELO
1583Grass ELO
25 yrs · 182 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWW
—
Sets
Walkover
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
Elina Svitolina
UKR3
Elina Svitolina
#10WTA
2070ELO
1859Grass ELO
$3.5MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWLW
Wang X.
vs
Svitolina E.

Xiyu Wang advanced to the semifinals of the Bad Homburg tournament after Elina Svitolina withdrew before their quarterfinal match. As a result, Wang received a walkover and did not play.

Around the match

  • “Elina is a huge fighter and I have seen that many times.”

    Svitolina E.tennisworldde.com ↗

  • Svitolina withdraws from Bad Homburg due to fatigue from her three-set match the previous day and ongoing hip issues.

    Svitolina E.tennisnet.com ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-01AucklandSFhardElina Svitolina2-6 6-4 6-3

Statistics

This season
Wang X.Svitolina E.
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
54%
46%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.4
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Wang X.Svitolina E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
4
91
Break points saved·Dominant
40
83
Break points won·Dominant
33
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
6
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Wang X.17%
Svitolina E.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Svitolina E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Wang X.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Svitolina E.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Grass Elo 1468
Surface ELO
7.4+193 Grass Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1710
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1985
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.74 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on grass
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Wang X.Svitolina E.
Freshness·Slight edge
77
72

Wang X.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw