Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif — Modena Round of 16
Modena · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
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Sets
Wednesday, 10 June 2026 ·
clay
Leyre Romero Gormaz faces Mayar Sherif in the Modena round of 16 on clay. Mayar Sherif is the paper favourite — ranked #118, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage — but Leyre Romero Gormaz rides a 6-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Key context
- Last match: Leyre Romero Gormaz dropped just 5 games past Xiaodi You.
- Last match: Mayar Sherif handed Georgia Pedone a second-set bagel in a 6–2 6–0 win.
- Fatigue load: Leyre Romero Gormaz carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Win streak: Leyre Romero Gormaz arrives on a 6-match winning run.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTCRomero Gormaz L.23%
Sherif M.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Sherif M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
4.0Clay Elo 1515
Surface ELO6.0+82 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1542
ELO gap5.6Overall Elo 1620
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
9.29 of last 10 on clay
Surface form6.87 of last 10 on clay
9.06-match win streak
Win streakFatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form59%1st serve in+19%78%
62%1st serve points won+4%58%
47%2nd serve points won+1%46%
55%Service points won55%
48%Return points won+3%45%
50%Break points saved+4%54%
1.7Aces / match+0.71
4Double faults / match+2.11.9
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
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Romero Gormaz L.
Sherif M.
Bronzetti L.
Grabher J.
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