Roberto Bautista Agut vs Brandon NakashimaRoland Garros Round of 128

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 128
#183ATP
1700ELO
1640Clay ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWLW
0 — 3
Sets
Monday, 25 May 2026 ·
clay
Court 9 · 2nd on
#31ATP
1839ELO
1735Clay ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
Bautista Agut R.
2-6 5-7 2-6
Nakashima B.
Bautista Agut R.
2520
Nakashima B.
6763

Brandon Nakashima defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 6-2 7-5 6-2 in the Roland Garros round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, defending last year's round of 128. Brandon Nakashima narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-09Rome MastersR64clayBrandon Nakashima6-4 6-0
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR64clayRoberto Bautista Agut6-2 6-4
2023-06-19HalleR16grassRoberto Bautista Agut7-5 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Bautista Agut R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Serve advantage — Nakashima B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Even
56%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
9.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
0.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
56
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
75
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
87
64
Tiebreaks·Even
93
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1670
Surface ELO
5.5+37 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1728
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1803
4.8Split 1–1 on clay
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on clay
3.94 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.2Won 53% in FRA (59)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
86

Bautista Agut R.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 45%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Bautista Agut R.
Nakashima B.[31]
2-65-72-6