Roberto Bautista Agut vs Brandon Nakashima — Monte Carlo Masters Round of 64

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Roberto Bautista Agut
ESP
Roberto Bautista Agut
#183ATP
1700ELO
1640Clay ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
Brandon Nakashima
USA
Brandon Nakashima
#31ATP
1839ELO
1735Clay ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Bautista Agut R.
6-2 6-4
Nakashima B.
Bautista Agut R.
662
Nakashima B.
240

Roberto Bautista Agut defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-2 6-4 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Roberto Bautista Agut narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosR128clayBrandon Nakashima2-6 5-7 2-6
2026-05-09Rome MastersR64clayBrandon Nakashima6-4 6-0
2023-06-19HalleR16grassRoberto Bautista Agut7-5 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Bautista Agut R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Serve advantage — Nakashima B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Bautista Agut R.Nakashima B.
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
58%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
9.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bautista Agut R.Nakashima B.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
56
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
75
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
87
64
Tiebreaks·Even
93
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bautista Agut R.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Nakashima B.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1640
Surface ELO
5.4+95 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1700
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
6.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
7.4
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.8
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bautista Agut R.Nakashima B.
Freshness·Clear edge
97
84

Bautista Agut R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Musetti L.[13]
3-66-16-0
Semi-finals
Musetti L.[13]
De Minaur A.[8]
1-66-47-64
Alcaraz C.[2]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-626-4
Quarter-finals
De Minaur A.[8]
Dimitrov G.[15]
6-06-0
Davidovich Fokina A.
Popyrin A.
6-36-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Fils A.[12]
4-67-56-3
Musetti L.[13]
Tsitsipas S.[6]
1-66-36-4
R16
Musetti L.[13]
Berrettini M.
6-36-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Altmaier D.
6-36-1
Fils A.[12]
Rublev A.[7]
6-26-3
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Borges N.
6-16-1
Davidovich Fokina A.
Draper J.[5]
6-36-766-4
Popyrin A.
Ruud C.[4]
6-43-67-5
Dimitrov G.[15]
Tabilo A.
6-33-66-2
De Minaur A.[8]
Medvedev D.[9]
6-26-2
R32
Borges N.
Martinez P.
7-56-746-4
Altmaier D.
Gasquet R.
7-55-76-2
Popyrin A.
Tiafoe F.[14]
3-66-36-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Cerundolo F.
3-66-06-1
Tsitsipas S.[6]
Thompson J.
4-66-46-2
De Minaur A.[8]
Machac T.
3-66-06-3
Musetti L.[13]
Lehecka J.
1-67-56-2
Tabilo A.
Djokovic N.[3]
6-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Etcheverry T.
7-626-3
Ruud C.[4]
Bautista Agut R.
6-26-1
Fils A.[12]
Cobolli F.
6-26-4
Dimitrov G.[15]
Vacherot V.
4-66-36-1
Medvedev D.[9]
Muller A.
7-665-76-2
Berrettini M.
Zverev A.[1]
2-66-37-5
Rublev A.[7]
Monfils G.
6-47-62
Draper J.[5]
Giron M.
6-16-1
R64
Vacherot V.
Struff J.
6-26-1
Borges N.
Rune H.[10]
6-23-0
Medvedev D.[9]
Khachanov K.
7-54-66-4
Cobolli F.
Lajovic D.
6-46-2
Cerundolo F.
Fognini F.
6-06-3
Giron M.
Shapovalov D.
6-37-65
Musetti L.[13]
Yunchaokete B.
4-67-56-3
Lehecka J.
Korda S.
6-37-67
Berrettini M.
Navone M.
6-46-4
Thompson J.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-3
Martinez P.
Sonego L.
6-41-66-2
Tabilo A.
Wawrinka S.
1-67-57-5
Dimitrov G.[15]
Jarry N.
6-36-4
Muller A.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-46-4
Machac T.
Baez S.
3-66-36-2
Etcheverry T.
Moutet C.
4-66-16-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shelton B.[11]
6-726-26-1
Tiafoe F.[14]
Kecmanovic M.
6-25-77-65
Popyrin A.
Humbert U.
3-67-626-4
Bautista Agut R.
Nakashima B.
6-26-4
Monfils G.
Marozsan F.
4-66-16-1
Fils A.[12]
Griekspoor T.
6-736-46-2
Altmaier D.
Auger Aliassime F.[16]
7-656-3
Gasquet R.
Arnaldi M.
6-34-66-4