Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli — Roland Garros Semi-final

Roland Garros · ATP · Semi-final
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
#104ATP
1763ELO
1756Clay ELO
$302kYTD
$4.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLWWWW
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Sets
Friday, 5 June 2026 ·
clay
ITA
Flavio Cobolli
#14ATP
1864ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.5MYTD
$6.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLLWLW

Matteo Arnaldi faces Flavio Cobolli in the Roland Garros semi-final on clay. Flavio Cobolli is the paper favourite — ranked #14, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage — but Matteo Arnaldi arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on clay to Flavio Cobolli's 7. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaldi M.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Cobolli F.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1756
Surface ELO
5.9+73 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1763
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1864
4.8Split 1–1 on clay
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on clay
9.19 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on clay
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.8Won 62% in FRA (24)
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Opponent rise
2.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
0.68
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR64clayFlavio Cobolli6-3 6-3 6-7(6) 6-1
2023-07-24UmagR16clayMatteo Arnaldi6-3 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Arnaldi M.Cobolli F.
56%1st serve in56%
66%1st serve points won+8%74%
49%2nd serve points won+3%52%
59%Service points won+5%64%
39%Return points won+2%37%
60%Break points saved+8%68%
4.3Aces / match+1.55.8
4.4Double faults / match+1.33.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (19 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.
Tabur C.
6-16-36-4
Fearnley J.
Cerundolo J.
2-66-706-77
Landaluce M.
Prado Angelo J.
6-34-66-26-736-4
Kopriva V.
Moutet C.
6-35-76-43-66-3
Rinderknech A.
Rodionov J.
7-656-26-3
Fucsovics M.
Berrettini M.
7-625-71-62-6
Quinn E.
Comesana F.
4-66-786-74
Ofner S.
Darderi L.
6-752-63-6
Bublik A.
Struff J.
5-77-664-65-7
Faria J.
Shapovalov D.
6-47-56-4
Munar J.
Hurkacz H.
3-63-66-23-6
Spizzirri E.
Tiafoe F.
3-67-654-63-6
Griekspoor T.
Arnaldi M.
7-693-66-763-6
Muller A.
Tsitsipas S.
2-60-3
Collignon R.
Vukic A.
6-36-37-64
Merida Aguilar D.
Shelton B.
3-63-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.
Altmaier D.
4-66-44-66-17-67
Baez S.
Burruchaga R.
6-25-72-60-2
Van Assche L.
Gaubas V.
6-46-22-67-5
Bautista Agut R.
Nakashima B.
2-65-72-6
Norrie C.
Vallejo A.
6-770-2
Cilic M.
Kouame M.
6-742-61-6
Tabilo A.
Majchrzak K.
6-16-36-4
Faurel T.
Vacherot V.
3-64-66-36-76
Cobolli F.
Pellegrino A.
6-47-646-3
Wu Y.
Giron M.
7-56-26-4
Diaz Acosta F.
Zhang Z.
6-16-46-3
Garin C.
Tien L.
0-66-20-62-6
Cerundolo F.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-46-776-4
Gaston H.
Monfils G.
6-26-33-62-66-0
Popyrin A.
Svajda Z.
6-33-66-735-7
Walton A.
Medvedev D.
6-21-66-11-66-4
De Minaur A.
Samuel T.
6-46-46-2
Blockx A.
Wong C.
6-36-46-2
Navone M.
Brooksby J.
6-46-46-4
Droguet T.
Mensik J.
3-62-64-6
Etcheverry T.
Borges N.
3-64-62-6
Kecmanovic M.
Marozsan F.
7-606-36-4
Nava E.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-7103-63-6
Buse I.
Rublev A.
3-67-663-65-7
Ruud C.
Safiullin R.
6-27-655-70-66-2
Medjedovic H.
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-46-716-4
Sonego L.
Herbert P.
7-635-76-21-66-4
Hijikata R.
Paul T.
6-43-65-74-6
Fonseca J.
Pavlovic L.
7-666-46-2
Zheng M.
Prizmic D.
1-61-63-6
Dellien H.
Royer V.
4-62-62-6
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Djokovic N.
7-55-71-64-6
Fritz T.
Basavareddy N.
6-756-757-691-6
Shevchenko A.
Michelsen A.
2-64-62-6
Duckworth J.
Diallo G.
6-34-1
Kovacevic A.
Jodar R.
1-60-64-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Dzumhur D.
6-736-32-67-56-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Tirante T.
3-66-767-650-6
Kokkinakis T.
Atmane T.
6-756-24-66-37-5
Carreno Busta P.
Lehecka J.
6-37-636-3
Khachanov K.
Gea A.
6-37-636-0
Jacquet K.
Trungelliti M.
4-62-62-6
Cina F.
Opelka R.
3-66-46-26-766-4
Wawrinka S.
De Jong J.
3-66-33-64-6
Humbert U.
Mannarino A.
6-36-46-3
Halys Q.
Bellucci M.
6-37-646-3
Machac T.
Bergs Z.
6-46-46-3
Bonzi B.
Zverev A.
3-64-62-6
Sinner J.
Cerundolo J.
6-36-25-71-61-6
Landaluce M.
Kopriva V.
1-62-66-47-56-0
Rinderknech A.
Berrettini M.
4-64-64-6
Comesana F.
Darderi L.
7-654-66-42-66-4
Struff J.
Faria J.
5-76-712-6
Hurkacz H.
Tiafoe F.
7-656-754-67-614-6
Arnaldi M.
Tsitsipas S.
7-625-76-36-2
Collignon R.
Shelton B.
6-47-56-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Burruchaga R.
4-66-07-56-1
Van Assche L.
Nakashima B.
7-654-67-51-63-6
Vallejo A.
Kouame M.
3-65-76-36-26-78
Tabilo A.
Vacherot V.
Cobolli F.
Wu Y.
6-46-46-4
Diaz Acosta F.
Tien L.
5-76-46-36-743-6
Cerundolo F.
Gaston H.
2-66-46-26-1
Svajda Z.
Walton A.
6-36-46-746-2
De Minaur A.
Blockx A.
Navone M.
Mensik J.
3-66-24-66-16-711
Borges N.
Kecmanovic M.
3-66-26-16-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Rublev A.
1-66-13-66-75
Ruud C.
Medjedovic H.
6-36-26-4
Sonego L.
Paul T.
3-62-64-6
Fonseca J.
Prizmic D.
3-64-66-36-16-2
Royer V.
Djokovic N.
3-62-67-673-6
Basavareddy N.
Michelsen A.
6-753-66-33-6
Duckworth J.
Jodar R.
1-67-654-65-7
Davidovich Fokina A.
Tirante T.
6-46-741-63-6
Kokkinakis T.
Carreno Busta P.
5-76-40-1
Khachanov K.
Trungelliti M.
7-655-76-17-64
Cina F.
De Jong J.
3-61-63-6
Humbert U.
Halys Q.
4-66-746-78
Machac T.
Zverev A.
4-62-62-6
Cerundolo J.
Landaluce M.
6-46-777-646-747-68
Berrettini M.
Comesana F.
7-635-76-746-47-613
Faria J.
Tiafoe F.
6-47-626-741-62-6
Arnaldi M.
Collignon R.
6-46-755-76-47-64
Auger Aliassime F.
Nakashima B.
5-76-17-647-61
Kouame M.
Tabilo A.
6-43-64-66-79
Cobolli F.
Tien L.
6-26-26-3
Cerundolo F.
Svajda Z.
3-64-66-36-43-6
De Minaur A.
Mensik J.
6-02-62-63-6
Borges N.
Rublev A.
5-76-726-72
Ruud C.
Paul T.
4-66-746-47-647-5
Fonseca J.
Djokovic N.
4-64-66-37-57-5
Michelsen A.
Jodar R.
6-727-656-43-63-6
Tirante T.
Carreno Busta P.
6-705-76-34-6
Khachanov K.
De Jong J.
5-77-52-67-622-6
Halys Q.
Zverev A.
4-63-67-52-6
Cerundolo J.
Berrettini M.
3-66-726-76
Tiafoe F.
Arnaldi M.
6-757-656-36-734-6
Auger Aliassime F.
Tabilo A.
6-37-56-1
Cobolli F.
Svajda Z.
6-26-36-737-65
Mensik J.
Rublev A.
6-37-664-62-66-3
Ruud C.
Fonseca J.
5-76-787-52-6
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
4-64-66-16-26-2
De Jong J.
Zverev A.
6-734-61-6
Berrettini M.
Arnaldi M.
5-72-5
Auger Aliassime F.
Cobolli F.
6-44-64-64-6
Mensik J.
Fonseca J.
6-46-37-63
Jodar R.
Zverev A.
6-731-63-6
Arnaldi M.
Cobolli F.
Mensik J.
Zverev A.
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