Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey RublevRoland Garros Round of 64

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 64
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWL
1 — 3
Sets
Wednesday, 27 May 2026 ·
clay
Court Simonne-Mathieu · 2nd on
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWL
Ugo Carabelli C.
1-6 6-1 3-6 6-7
Rublev A.
Ugo Carabelli C.
163651
Rublev A.
616773

Andrey Rublev defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 1-6 6-3 7-6 in the Roland Garros round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 1–6 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-22UmagR16clayAndrey Rublev6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Rublev A.
24
Serve
14
36
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
6.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
100
Break points won·Slight edge
62
72
Deciding sets·Even
96
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1732
Surface ELO
6.7+137 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1905
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.9Won 64% in FRA (59)
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
95

Ugo Carabelli C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 30%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final