Andrey Rublev vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliUmag Round of 16

Umag · ATP · Round of 16
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 July 2024
clay
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Rublev A.
6-4 7-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Rublev A.
672
Ugo Carabelli C.
450

Andrey Rublev defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 7-5 in the Umag round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayAndrey Rublev1-6 6-1 3-6 6.5-7.7

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rublev A.Ugo Carabelli C.
14
Serve
24
62
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.0
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (150 vs 175). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
90
Break points won·Slight edge
72
62
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+132 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1741
6.6Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
5.4
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
6.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
97

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast