Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos TsitsipasRoland Garros Round of 64

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 64
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
3 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 28 May 2026 ·
clay
Court 14 · 4th on
#85ATP
1833ELO
1841Clay ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Arnaldi M.
7-6 5-7 6-3 6-2
Tsitsipas S.
Arnaldi M.
775663
Tsitsipas S.
627321

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-6 5-7 6-3 6-2 in the Roland Garros round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Stefanos Tsitsipas came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64, but Matteo Arnaldi had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay. Matteo Arnaldi claimed a first win over Stefanos Tsitsipas in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Matteo Arnaldi closed it out in four sets, 7–6 5–7 6–3 6–2.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR16clayStefanos Tsitsipas3-6 7-6(4) 6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Tsitsipas S.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Tsitsipas S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Arnaldi M.Tsitsipas S.
Serve
52
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
64%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
33%
Break points saved·Clear edge
58%
71%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.5
7.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
90
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Dominant
51
77
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1756
Surface ELO
6.4+110 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1763
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1851
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
7.47 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
6.3Won 71% in FRA (73)
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
95

Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tsitsipas S.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
32°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 31%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final