Federico Cina vs Reilly OpelkaRoland Garros Round of 128

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 128
#184ATP
1630ELO
1590Clay ELO
$293kYTD
$533kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWLWWW
3 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 24 May 2026 ·
clay
Court 6 · 3rd on
#131ATP
1749ELO
1644Clay ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWL
Cina F.
3-6 6-4 6-2 6-7 6-4
Opelka R.
Cina F.
3666663
Opelka R.
6427842

Federico Cina defeated Reilly Opelka 3-6 6-4 6-2 6-7 6-4 in the Roland Garros round of 128 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Reilly Opelka came in ranked #131, defending last year's round of 64, but Federico Cina had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cina F.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Opelka R.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Cina F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
81%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
58%
Service points won·Clear edge
62%
74%
Return points won·Clear edge
39%
27%
Break points saved·Clear edge
66%
79%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
21.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
63
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
100
Break points won·Dominant
32
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
52
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
28
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1472
Surface ELO
7.5+197 Clay Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1767
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
69

Cina F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 40%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Cina F.
Opelka R.
3-66-46-26-766-4