Matteo Arnaldi vs Brandon Nakashima — Delray Beach Quarter-final

Delray Beach · ATP · Quarter-final
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA4
Matteo Arnaldi
#33ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025 ·
hard
Brandon Nakashima
USA6
Brandon Nakashima
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWWL
Arnaldi M.
7-6 6-4
Nakashima B.
Arnaldi M.
762
Nakashima B.
640

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-6 6-4 in the Delray Beach quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Matteo Arnaldi claimed a first win over Brandon Nakashima in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-2 6-4
2022-11-07NextGen FinalsRRhardBrandon Nakashima2-4 4-3 4-3 3-4 4-2

Statistics

This season
Arnaldi M.Nakashima B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.6
9.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Arnaldi M.Nakashima B.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
38
19
Break points saved·Even
93
95
Break points won·Slight edge
10
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
39
11
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
94
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Arnaldi M.Nakashima B.
Freshness·Clear edge
79
100

Arnaldi M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 69 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw