Matteo Arnaldi vs Brandon Nakashima — Delray Beach Quarter-final

Delray Beach · ATP · Quarter-final
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
[4]
#104ATP
1763ELO
1699Hard ELO
$302kYTD
$4.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
hard
USA
Brandon Nakashima
[6]
#35ATP
1803ELO
1770Hard ELO
$612kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-6 6-4 in the Delray Beach quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #35, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Matteo Arnaldi claimed a first win over Brandon Nakashima in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaldi M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Nakashima B.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1699
Surface ELO
6.1+71 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1763
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1803
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.3
Surface form
1.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Arnaldi M.
7762
Nakashima B.
6240

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-2 6-4
2022-11-07NextGen FinalsRRhardBrandon Nakashima2-4 4-3(7) 4-3(4) 3-4(4) 4-2

Statistics

Recent form
Arnaldi M.Nakashima B.
56%1st serve in+13%69%
66%1st serve points won+11%77%
49%2nd serve points won+3%52%
59%Service points won+10%69%
39%Return points won+5%34%
60%Break points saved+3%57%
4.3Aces / match+5.39.6
4.4Double faults / match+3.70.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (19 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Kecmanovic M.[7]
Davidovich Fokina A.[8]
3-66-17-5
Semi-finals
Kecmanovic M.[7]
Michelsen A.[3]
7-636-3
Davidovich Fokina A.[8]
Arnaldi M.[4]
6-46-4
Quarter-finals
Michelsen A.[3]
Norrie C.
7-637-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[8]
Fritz T.[1]
7-647-65
Kecmanovic M.[7]
Giron M.[5]
2-66-46-2
Arnaldi M.[4]
Nakashima B.[6]
7-626-4
R16
Fritz T.[1]
Yunchaokete B.
7-646-2
Nakashima B.[6]
Opelka R.
3-67-56-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[8]
Mcdonald M.
6-25-76-0
Giron M.[5]
Quinn E.
6-36-4
Norrie C.
Rinderknech A.[9]
7-696-2
Michelsen A.[3]
Mmoh M.
6-783-0
Kecmanovic M.[7]
Nishioka Y.
W/O
Arnaldi M.[4]
Tien L.
7-644-67-61
R32
Quinn E.
Boyer T.
6-26-757-62
Tien L.
Walton A.
6-46-3
Mmoh M.
Shevchenko A.
7-57-65
Mcdonald M.
Nishikori K.
7-644-67-5
Nishioka Y.
Vukic A.
6-36-4
Kecmanovic M.[7]
Gojo B.
6-46-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[8]
Daniel T.
6-27-62
Norrie C.
Svajda Z.
7-56-4
Rinderknech A.[9]
Popko D.
6-26-4
Yunchaokete B.
Hijikata R.
6-26-0
Opelka R.
Eubanks C.
6-37-67
Nakashima B.[6]
Trotter J.
7-626-1