Matteo Arnaldi vs Denis Shapovalov — Miami Masters Round of 32

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 March 2024
hard
Denis Shapovalov
CAN
Denis Shapovalov
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Arnaldi M.
6-3 7-6
Shapovalov D.
Arnaldi M.
6792
Shapovalov D.
3670

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Denis Shapovalov 6-3 7-6 in the Miami Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Matteo Arnaldi claimed a first win over Denis Shapovalov in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR64clayDenis Shapovalov6-2 3-6 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Shapovalov D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Shapovalov D.
23
Serve
25
22
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Arnaldi M.Shapovalov D.
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
8.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Arnaldi M.Shapovalov D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
85
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Clear edge
51
71
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaldi M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Shapovalov D.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1732
Surface ELO
6.4+43 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1771
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
7.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
5.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Arnaldi M.Shapovalov D.
Freshness·Even
94
98

Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Shapovalov D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Dimitrov G.[11]
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Dimitrov G.[11]
Zverev A.[4]
6-46-746-4
Sinner J.[2]
Medvedev D.[3]
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Medvedev D.[3]
Jarry N.[22]
6-27-67
Dimitrov G.[11]
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[2]
Machac T.
6-46-2
Zverev A.[4]
Marozsan F.
6-37-5
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Musetti L.[23]
6-36-3
Dimitrov G.[11]
Hurkacz H.[8]
3-66-37-63
Medvedev D.[3]
Koepfer D.
7-656-0
Marozsan F.
De Minaur A.[9]
6-40-66-1
Jarry N.[22]
Ruud C.[7]
7-636-3
Machac T.
Arnaldi M.
6-36-3
Sinner J.[2]
Oconnell C.
6-46-3
Zverev A.[4]
Khachanov K.[15]
6-16-4
R32
Alcaraz C.[1]
Monfils G.
6-26-4
Oconnell C.
Damm M.
7-657-65
Koepfer D.
Humbert U.[14]
3-66-46-3
Machac T.
Murray A.
5-77-57-65
Dimitrov G.[11]
Hanfmann Y.
6-16-0
Zverev A.[4]
Eubanks C.[31]
7-646-3
Khachanov K.[15]
Cerundolo F.[20]
6-15-77-65
De Minaur A.[9]
Struff J.[24]
7-636-4
Marozsan F.
Popyrin A.
7-56-3
Ruud C.[7]
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
6-36-4
Jarry N.[22]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-717-56-3
Medvedev D.[3]
Norrie C.[30]
7-56-1
Arnaldi M.
Shapovalov D.
6-37-67
Sinner J.[2]
Griekspoor T.[25]
5-77-56-1
Hurkacz H.[8]
Korda S.[28]
7-656-756-3
Musetti L.[23]
Shelton B.[16]
6-47-65
R64
Alcaraz C.[1]
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-1
Monfils G.
Thompson J.[33]
6-736-16-2
Dimitrov G.[11]
Tabilo A.
6-757-656-2
Eubanks C.[31]
Evans D.
7-633-67-67
Cerundolo F.[20]
Ofner S.
7-626-726-1
Khachanov K.[15]
Djere L.
6-26-4
Struff J.[24]
Altmaier D.
6-36-3
Marozsan F.
Rune H.[6]
6-16-1
Ruud C.[7]
Van Assche L.
7-651-66-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
Shang J.
6-37-5
Jarry N.[22]
Draper J.
7-654-67-62
Damm M.
Paul T.[13]
4-62-1
De Minaur A.[9]
Kwon S.
6-36-2
Shapovalov D.
Tsitsipas S.[10]
6-26-4
Machac T.
Rublev A.[5]
6-46-4
Oconnell C.
Tiafoe F.[21]
7-57-65
Hanfmann Y.
Mannarino A.[19]
3-67-616-4
Korda S.[28]
Bautista Agut R.
6-726-36-4
Hurkacz H.[8]
Shevchenko A.
6-46-726-3
Zverev A.[4]
Auger Aliassime F.
6-26-4
Popyrin A.
Lehecka J.[26]
6-46-4
Seyboth Wild T.
Fritz T.[12]
6-36-4
Humbert U.[14]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-46-3
Koepfer D.
Baez S.[18]
6-36-2
Norrie C.[30]
Cobolli F.
7-56-746-2
Medvedev D.[3]
Fucsovics M.
6-46-2
Murray A.
Etcheverry T.[29]
7-606-3
Arnaldi M.
Bublik A.[17]
6-46-1
Griekspoor T.[25]
Michelsen A.
7-656-776-4
Sinner J.[2]
Vavassori A.
6-36-4
Shelton B.[16]
Landaluce M.
6-36-4
Musetti L.[23]
Safiullin R.
7-56-1
R128
Safiullin R.
Schwartzman D.
6-26-4
Bautista Agut R.
Nava E.
6-37-64
Damm M.
Zhang Z.
7-627-63
Michelsen A.
Klein L.
7-656-2
Fucsovics M.
Purcell M.
6-26-1
Cobolli F.
Nishioka Y.
1-66-16-4
Shevchenko A.
Galan D.
6-747-647-5
Carballes Baena R.
Vukic A.
7-626-3
Monfils G.
Lajovic D.
7-656-4
Landaluce M.
Munar J.
6-31-67-5
Tabilo A.
Nakashima B.
6-43-66-3
Hanfmann Y.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-44-66-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Walton A.
7-56-4
Evans D.
Sonego L.
1-66-36-4
Djere L.
Wong C.
7-57-63
Kwon S.
Muller A.
7-636-3
Altmaier D.
Mayot H.
6-27-5
Popyrin A.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-26-2
Marozsan F.
Kovacevic A.
6-36-2
Van Assche L.
Kotov P.
6-37-5
Shang J.
Kecmanovic M.
7-654-67-65
Draper J.
Daniel T.
6-36-2
Seyboth Wild T.
Borges N.
6-47-5
Koepfer D.
Giron M.
4-66-16-4
Machac T.
Blanch D.
6-46-2
Murray A.
Berrettini M.
4-66-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Fils A.
6-36-4
Shapovalov D.
Darderi L.
6-36-736-4
Oconnell C.
Kopriva V.
6-26-4
Vavassori A.
Cachin P.
6-26-2
Ofner S.
Nishikori K.
6-36-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Hijikata R.
7-57-63