Andrey Rublev vs Brandon NakashimaCincinnati Masters Round of 16

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Rublev A.
7-6 6-1
Nakashima B.
Rublev A.
7762
Nakashima B.
6510

Andrey Rublev defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-6 6-1 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 32. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-05Canada MastersR16hardAndrey Rublev6-2 6-2
2024-04-15BarcelonaR32clayBrandon Nakashima6-4 7-6(6)
2021-09-27San DiegoR16hardAndrey Rublev6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Nakashima B.
55
Serve
61
52
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.9
8.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (150 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
56
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
72
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
64
Tiebreaks·Even
92
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+61 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1788
6.0Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1839
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.9
Surface form
6.4
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
2.5
Minutes 14d
3.4
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.6
Country comfort
6.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
84

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%