Brandon Nakashima vs Frances TiafoeTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#17ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024 ·
hard
#12ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLL
Nakashima B.
7-5 6-3
Tiafoe F.
Nakashima B.
762
Tiafoe F.
530

Brandon Nakashima defeated Frances Tiafoe 7-5 6-3 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 6–0, defending last year's round of 32. Brandon Nakashima claimed a first win over Frances Tiafoe in seven meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

06
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-22CincinnatiSFhardFrances Tiafoe5-7 3-6
2026-02-23AcapulcoSFhardFrances Tiafoe3-6 7-6 6-4
2025-03-31HoustonSFclayFrances Tiafoe6-4 7-6
2022-07-25AtlantaQFhardFrances Tiafoe6-4 6-2
2022-03-21Miami MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe3-6 7-6 6-4
2021-03-15AcapulcoR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 6-7 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
9.0
7.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 152). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
74
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Dominant
3
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
55
86
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
77
75

Nakashima B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Tiafoe F.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw