Brandon Nakashima vs Arthur FilsCincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#24ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
Nakashima B.
7-5 7-6
Fils A.
Nakashima B.
7772
Fils A.
5630

Brandon Nakashima defeated Arthur Fils 7-5 7-6 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Arthur Fils came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Brandon Nakashima narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13BarcelonaR16clayArthur Fils6-2 6-3
2023-08-21Winston-SalemR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-2
2023-05-22LyonSFclayArthur Fils7-5 4-6 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Fils A.

Fils A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Fils A.
61
Serve
56
23
Return
30

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
5.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
89
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
13
70
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1788
Surface ELO
7.4+142 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 2001
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.4
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.4
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.7
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
92

Nakashima B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Fils A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%