Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie | Stockholm Round of 16

UMPIRY

StockholmR16HardWed 11 Nov · 14:30

Taylor Fritz(1)ATP #10 · USA80%

VSStrong favourite · Fritz T.

Cameron NorrieATP #53 · GBR20%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Fritz T.

80%20%

Clear edge for Fritz T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Fritz T.6.7/10

Slight advantage

Norrie C.5.8/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+50 Hard Elo edgeSupports Fritz T.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1909Supports Fritz T.

Head-to-headLeads 8–6 on hardSupports Fritz T.

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Norrie C.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO2 149

Hard ELO1 982

Last 107–3

Age29

Height196 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $32.6M2026 $3.3M

ELO1 966

Hard ELO1 843

Last 103–7

Age31

Height188 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $15.1M2026 $1.3M

Taylor Fritz faces Cameron Norrie in the Stockholm round of 16 on hard. Taylor Fritz holds the paper edge — ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 8–6, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Taylor Fritz 193 games in 14 days, Cameron Norrie 112.
Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Taylor Fritz grades 85 on serve, Cameron Norrie 35 on return.
Head-to-head: Taylor Fritz leads the head-to-head 8–6. Last met at United Cup 2024.

Common opponents

11 shared · last 12 months

All 11 opponents →

Fritz T. and Norrie C. faced 11 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Fritz T. went 10–7 (59%) against them, Norrie C. 5–9 (36%). Fritz T. came out better against 5 of 11 comparable opponents, Norrie C. against 2 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).

10–759%Fritz T. · better vs 5Record vs common opponents5–936%Norrie C. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

23–19Sets15–22

220–209Games176–192

3–2Tiebreaks2–3

3–4Deciding sets2–3

vs Zverev A.#1L4-6 4-6 2-6Wimbledon · grassL6-3 3-6 3-6Cincinnati · hard
vs Alcaraz C.#3L3-6 6-4 11-13Laver Cup - London · hardL3-6 4-6Indian Wells Masters · hard
vs Shelton B.#4WHalle · grassL3-6 4-6Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · hard

Show 8 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Fils A.#7W6-2 2-0Basel · hardL2-6 6-7Montreal · hard
vs Cerundolo F.#20L6-3 6-4 3-6 4-6 4-6US Open · hardW6-4 6-1Vienna · hard
vs Michelsen A.#35L4-6 6-7Indian Wells Masters · hardL5-7 7-6 4-6Miami Masters · hard
vs Arnaldi M.#38W7-5 6-4Shanghai Masters · hardW6-4 1-6 6-3Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · hard
vs Shapovalov D.#50W6-4 6-3Basel · hardL3-6 7-5 4-6Los Cabos · hard
vs Tirante T.#51L5-7 3-6Montreal · hardL3-6 5-7Rome Masters · clay
vs Hijikata R.#59W6-4 7-6(3)Basel · hardW6-4 6-2Indian Wells Masters · hard
vs Bonzi B.#91W3-6 6-3 6-4Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · hardW6-0 6-7 4-6 6-3 6-4Australian Open · hard

Head-to-head

14 meetings · Fritz T. leads 8–6

Full H2H →

Fritz T.January 2024United CupHard7-6 6-4
Fritz T.October 2023TokyoHard6-4 6-3
Norrie C.January 2023United CupHard6-4 5-7 6-4
Norrie C.January 2023United CupHard6-4 5-7 6-4
Fritz T.September 2022Laver CupHard6-1 4-6

Evidence

Fritz T.Norrie C.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–33–7

Season win rate66% (43–22)48% (26–28)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO21491966

Hard-court ELO19821843

Serve vs returnLast 65 vs 45 matches

1st-serve points won80%69%

Return points won35%36%

Aces / match14.24.8

ClutchLast 65 vs 45 matches

Break points saved69%64%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:30 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast6°C · Overcast

Wind9 km/h

Humidity91%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Fritz T.Norrie C.

4Days since last match1

4Matches · 7 days2

119Games · 7 days37

8Matches · 14 days5

193Games · 14 days112

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie — Stockholm Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-11/fritz-vs-norrie-stockholm-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 11 November 2026).