Alex Michelsen vs Cameron NorrieMiami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
#38ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Michelsen A.
7-5 6-7 6-4
Norrie C.
Michelsen A.
76462
Norrie C.
57741

Alex Michelsen defeated Cameron Norrie 7-5 6-7 6-4 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Cameron Norrie came in ranked #38, defending last year's round of 128. Alex Michelsen extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-10Delray BeachQFhardAlex Michelsen7-6(3) 7-5
2025-02-03DallasR32hardCameron Norrie2-6 7-6(1) 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Norrie C.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Norrie C.
34
Serve
45
46
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
68%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.2
5.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
89
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
46
83
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9+21 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.1Hard Elo 1789
4.3Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1829
5.4
H2H
4.6
5.7
Surface form
6.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
6.5
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.3
Country comfort
5.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
66
95

Michelsen A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Norrie C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%