Alex Michelsen vs Taylor FritzIndian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Michelsen A.
6-4 7-6
Fritz T.
Michelsen A.
6782
Fritz T.
4660

Alex Michelsen defeated Taylor Fritz 6-4 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #7, defending last year's round of 16. Alex Michelsen extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-20GenevaR16clayAlex Michelsen6-4 4-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Fritz T.
34
Serve
76
46
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
71%
Return points won·Even
35%
33%
Break points saved·Even
67%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.2
16.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
87
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
46
60
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1810
Surface ELO
6.5+28 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1909
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
6.8
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Country comfort
7.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
61
67

Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Fritz T.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%