UMPIRY
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Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo — Vienna Round of 32

ViennaR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Cerundolo F.
31%69%

Clear edge for Cerundolo F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Norrie C.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Cerundolo F.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+91 Hard Elo edgeSupports Cerundolo F.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1931Supports Cerundolo F.
Recent runLost last 5Informative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Cerundolo F.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
ELO1 951
Hard ELO1 830
Last 104–6
Age31
Height188 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $15.1M2026 $1.3M
ELO2 047
Hard ELO1 887
Last 105–5
Age28
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $11.8M2026 $2.9M

Cameron Norrie faces Francisco Cerundolo in the Vienna round of 32 on hard. Francisco Cerundolo holds the paper edge — ranked #21, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 16. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

8 shared · last 12 months
All 8 opponents →

Norrie C. and Cerundolo F. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Norrie C. went 5–6 (45%) against them, Cerundolo F. 4–7 (36%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 0 better-results split).

5–645%Norrie C. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents4–736%Cerundolo F. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
14–17Sets8–17
158–161Games105–136
4–3Tiebreaks2–2
3–2Deciding sets2–0
Show 5 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

4 meetings · Cerundolo F. leads 3–1
Full H2H →
13

Evidence

Norrie C.Cerundolo F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate47% (23–26)63% (37–22) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19512047 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO18301887 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 40 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won69%71% (ahead)
Return points won36%40% (ahead)
Aces / match4.9 (ahead)4.2
ClutchLast 40 vs 55 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)63%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast8°C · Clear
Wind2 km/h
Humidity72%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Norrie C.Cerundolo F.
5 — fresherDays since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
27 — fresherGames · 7 days71
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
27 — fresherGames · 14 days97
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo — Vienna Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/cerundolo-vs-norrie-vienna-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).