Tomas Machac vs Francisco CerundoloMonte Carlo Masters Round of 32

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#53ATP
1866ELO
1783Clay ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 5 April 2026
clay
#22ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Machac T.
7-6 6-3
Cerundolo F.
Machac T.
7762
Cerundolo F.
6230

Tomas Machac defeated Francisco Cerundolo 7-6 6-3 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Tomas Machac closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Serve advantage — Cerundolo F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Machac T.Cerundolo F.
12
Serve
26
48
Return
99

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
88
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Slight edge
80
86
Deciding sets·Even
94
94
Tiebreaks·Even
97
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1783
Surface ELO
6.5+86 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.5
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Cerundolo F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%