Jan Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 16
Why
Surface+254 Hard Elo edgeSupports Ruud C.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1983Supports Ruud C.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Ruud C.
Recent run2-match win streakBoth players
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardBoth players
ELO2 016
Hard ELO1 810
Last 108–2
Age36
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $13.6M2026 $1.2M
ELO2 103
Hard ELO1 876
Last 107–3
Age27
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $29.4M2026 $2.2M
Jan Lennard Struff faces Casper Ruud in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 16 on hard. Casper Ruud is the paper favourite — ranked #23, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage — but Jan Lennard Struff has won 3 of their 4 previous meetings. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Jan Lennard Struff 249 games in 14 days, Casper Ruud 93.
- Under pressure: Casper Ruud has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 88 vs Jan Lennard Struff's 50).
- Last match: Jan Lennard Struff dropped the opening set before beating Thiago Agustin Tirante 6–7 6–3 7–6.
Common opponents
7 shared · last 12 monthsStruff J. and Ruud C. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Struff J. went 3–6 (33%) against them, Ruud C. 4–3 (57%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 3 better-results split).
3–633%Struff J. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents4–357%Ruud C. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
10–17Sets9–9
132–150Games98–90
2–3Tiebreaks1–3
1–2Deciding sets2–1
vs Sinner J.#2L5-7 6-7 3-6Wimbledon · grassL4-6 4-6Rome Masters · clay
vs Lehecka J.#15L6-7 3-6Rome Masters · clayW6-3 6-4Rome Masters · clay
vs Cerundolo F.#20L7-5 5-7 6-4 2-6 3-6US Open · hardW6-7(4) 6-4 10-8Laver Cup - London · hard
Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴
vs Hurkacz H.#29W3-6 6-7 7-6 7-5 4-2Wimbledon · grassL4-6 2-6 6-7Wimbledon · grass
vs Borges N.#49W6-2 6-3Basel · hardL6-1 3-6 4-6Basel · hard- vs Faria J.#57L5-7 2-6Roland Garros · clayW6-7(1) 6-4 6-2Gstaad · clay
vs Shevchenko A.#107W3-6 7-6(5) 6-4Kitzbuhel · clayW6-1 7-6Indian Wells Masters · hard
Head-to-head
4 meetings · Struff J. leads 3–131
Hard: level 1–1 · Clay: Struff J. leads 2–0
- Ruud C.September 2023BeijingHard7-6 6-3
- Struff J.April 2023Monte Carlo MastersClay6-1 7-6
- Struff J.August 2019US OpenHard6-4 6-4 6-2
- Struff J.April 2017Monte Carlo MastersClay6-4 6-4
Evidence
Struff J.Ruud C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)7–3
Season win rate52% (28–26)62% (32–20) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO20162103 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO18101876 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 51 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)72%
Return points won33%37% (ahead)
Aces / match11.1 (ahead)6.3
ClutchLast 48 vs 51 matches
Break points saved65%67% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Jan Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-05/ruud-vs-struff-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 5 November 2026).