Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Lennard Struff

UMPIRY

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisR32HardWed 4 Nov · ~18:00COURT 2 · After 1 match

Thiago Agustin TiranteATP #53 · ARG54%

VSToss-up

Jan Lennard StruffATP #39 · GER46%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

54%46%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Tirante T.5.3/10

Clear underdog

Struff J.5.5/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+2 Hard Elo edgeInformative

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1741Supports Tirante T.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Struff J.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Tirante T.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 928

Hard ELO1 730

Last 103–7

Age25

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.5M2026 $1.2M

ELO2 007

Hard ELO1 800

Last 108–2

Age36

Height193 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $13.6M2026 $1.2M

Thiago Agustin Tirante faces Jan Lennard Struff in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 32 on hard. Jan Lennard Struff holds the paper edge — ranked #39, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

Freshness: Thiago Agustin Tirante comes in with 3 days of rest and 69 games in 14d, vs Jan Lennard Struff's 1 and 232.
Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Jan Lennard Struff rising, Thiago Agustin Tirante cooling.
Surface form: Thiago Agustin Tirante 3 of 10, Jan Lennard Struff 8 of 10 on hard recently — Jan Lennard Struff the sharper of late.

Common opponents

8 shared · last 12 months

Tirante T. and Struff J. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Tirante T. went 4–6 (40%) against them, Struff J. 5–6 (45%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 3 better-results split).

4–640%Tirante T. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents5–645%Struff J. · better vs 3

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

11–14Sets14–16

113–131Games152–167

3–1Tiebreaks4–3

2–2Deciding sets3–2

vs Medvedev D.#5L3-6 2-6Rome Masters · clayW7-6 7-6 7-5Wimbledon · grass
vs Fils A.#7L3-6 2-6Cincinnati · hardW6-4 6-7(7) 7-6(5)European Open - Brussels · hard
vs Djokovic N.#11W2-6 6-4 6-4Cincinnati · hardW6-7(4) 7-5 7-6(5)Basel · hard

Show 5 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Cerundolo F.#20L4-6 2-6Miami Masters · hardL7-5 5-7 6-4 2-6 3-6US Open · hard
vs Tabilo A.#30L6-7 7-6 1-6Rio de Janeiro · clayL3-6 4-6Cincinnati · hard
vs Landaluce M.#67W7-6(5) 7-6(4)Cincinnati · hardW6-4 6-4Shanghai Masters · hard
vs Basilashvili N.#87W7-5 3-6 6-4Bastad · clayL3-6 3-6Monte Carlo Masters · clay
vs Carreno-Busta P.#74Hard to compareL5-7 6-3 4-6Roland Garros · clayL4-6 6-7ESP vs GER · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Struff J. leads 1–0

Struff J.September 2026BeijingHard6-1 6-4

Evidence

Tirante T.Struff J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss3–78–2

Season win rate56% (32–25)51% (27–26)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19282007

Hard-court ELO17301800

Serve vs returnLast 50 vs 47 matches

1st-serve points won76%77%

Return points won36%33%

Aces / match8.911.0

ClutchLast 50 vs 47 matches

Break points saved60%65%

When it starts

COURT 2 · After 1 match · Followed by

1Paul T. v Merida Aguilar D.6-1 6-1
2Etcheverry T. v De Minaur A.7-6(2) 6-3
3Molcan A. v Fritz T.7-6(6) 0-0
4This match: Tirante T. v Struff J.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 2 · ~18:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast9°C · Overcast

Wind14 km/h

Humidity63%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Tirante T.Struff J.

3Days since last match1

2Matches · 7 days5

46Games · 7 days127

3Matches · 14 days9

69Games · 14 days232

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Lennard Struff — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-04/struff-vs-tirante-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 4 November 2026).