UMPIRY

Casper Ruud vs Francisco Cerundolo — Laver Cup - London Round Robin

Laver Cup - LondonRound RobinHardFri 25 Sept · 13:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
54%46%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ruud C.5.3/10
Clear underdog
Cerundolo F.6.2/10
Even match
Why
Surface+9 Hard Elo edgeSupports Ruud C.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1983Supports Ruud C.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 3–1 on hardAgainst the prediction · Cerundolo F.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO2 120
Hard ELO1 873
Last 104–6
Age27
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $29.4M2026 $2.2M
ELO2 024
Hard ELO1 879
Last 105–5
Age28
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $11.1M2026 $2.2M

Casper Ruud faces Francisco Cerundolo in the Laver Cup - London round robin on hard. Casper Ruud is the paper favourite — ranked #17 — but Francisco Cerundolo has won 5 of their 9 previous meetings.

Key context

Common opponents

9 shared · last 12 months
All 9 opponents →

Ruud C. and Cerundolo F. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Ruud C. went 7–3 (70%) against them, Cerundolo F. 3–7 (30%). Ruud C. came out better against 3 of 8 comparable opponents, Cerundolo F. against 0.

7–370%Ruud C. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents3–730%Cerundolo F. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
16–8Sets9–18
132–95Games125–147
2–1Tiebreaks0–4
1–0Deciding sets1–1
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Head-to-head

9 meetings · Cerundolo F. leads 5–4
Full H2H →
45

Clay: Ruud C. leads 3–2 · Hard: Cerundolo F. leads 3–1

Evidence

Ruud C.Cerundolo F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate60% (25–17)64% (32–18) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2120 (ahead)2024
Hard-court ELO18731879 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 32 vs 33 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)69%
Return points won36%41% (ahead)
Aces / match6.6 (ahead)3.4
ClutchLast 32 vs 33 matches
Break points saved70% (ahead)62%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast22°C · Clear
Wind3 km/h
Humidity59%