Francisco Cerundolo vs Casper RuudMiami Masters Round of 16

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#21ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Cerundolo F.
6-4 6-2
Ruud C.
Cerundolo F.
662
Ruud C.
420

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Casper Ruud 6-4 6-2 in the Miami Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, defending last year's round of 16. Francisco Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

44
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersSFclayCasper Ruud6-4 7-5
2024-09-20Laver CupRRhardFrancisco Cerundolo6-4 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR16clayCasper Ruud6-3 6-4
2023-10-30Paris MastersR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo7-5 6-4
2023-05-08Rome MastersQFclayCasper Ruud7-6(5) 6-4
2023-04-17BarcelonaR16clayFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(5) 6-3
2022-07-11BastadR16clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-4 3-6 7-5
2022-03-21Miami MastersSFhardCasper Ruud6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cerundolo F.Ruud C.
13
Serve
59
67
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
91
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Slight edge
86
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1880
Surface ELO
5.0+9 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1983
7.2
H2H
2.8
7.3
Surface form
6.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.5
Country comfort
5.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
97

Cerundolo F.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ruud C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%