Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry

UMPIRY

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisR16HardThu 5 Nov · 14:00COURT 1 · Next on

Rinky HijikataATP #83 · AUS55%

VSToss-up

Tomas Martin EtcheverryATP #31 · ARG45%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

55%45%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Hijikata R.4.5/10

Heavy underdog

Etcheverry T.5.1/10

Clear underdog

Why

Surface+72 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Etcheverry T.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1812Against the prediction · Etcheverry T.

Recent run4-match win streakSupports Hijikata R.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Etcheverry T.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Etcheverry T.

ELO1 938

Hard ELO1 806

Last 105–5

Age25

Height178 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $4.4M2026 $815K

ELO1 933

Hard ELO1 775

Last 104–6

Age27

Height196 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $7.2M2026 $1.6M

Rinky Hijikata faces Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 16 on hard. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is the paper favourite — ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage — but Rinky Hijikata rides a 4-match win streak. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Rinky Hijikata 153 games in 14 days, Tomas Martin Etcheverry 77.
Serve & return: Tomas Martin Etcheverry leads on Serve Rating (46), Rinky Hijikata on Return Rating (38).
Last match: Rinky Hijikata dropped the opening set before beating Novak Djokovic 2–6 6–3 6–3.

Common opponents

13 shared · last 12 months

Hijikata R. and Etcheverry T. faced 13 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Hijikata R. went 8–5 (62%) against them, Etcheverry T. 9–7 (56%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 2 better-results split).

8–562%Hijikata R. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents9–756%Etcheverry T. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

18–14Sets23–22

164–158Games229–224

4–2Tiebreaks5–5

3–1Deciding sets6–3

vs Paul T.#14L6-4 3-6 5-7 4-6Roland Garros · clayL1-6 3-6Miami Masters · hard
vs Rublev A.#22L3-6 3-6Hangzhou · hardW6-4 6-7(4) 7-6(3)Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · hard
vs Bublik A.#26W6-7 7-6 6-3Indian Wells Masters · hardL6-7 6-7 4-6Australian Open · hard

Show 10 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Tabilo A.#30W6-2 6-4London · grassW3-6 7-6 6-4Rio de Janeiro · clay
vs Buse I.#33W3-6 6-3 6-4Indian Wells Masters · hardW6-2 7-5Kitzbuhel · clay
vs Tsitsipas S.#34L4-6 3-6Tokyo · hardL6-4 3-6 4-6Tokyo · hard
vs Shapovalov D.#51L6-2 3-6 2-6Los Cabos · hardL3-6 6-2 6-7Indian Wells Masters · hard
vs Kecmanovic M.#60W7-6(5) 6-3Basel · hardW6-2 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4Australian Open · hard
vs Kopriva V.#62W7-6(5) 6-2Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · hardW6-3 6-4 6-0US Open · hard
vs Atmane T.#73L6-7(5) 2-6Almaty · hardL3-6 6-7(4)Cincinnati · hard
vs Prizmic D.#92W4-6 6-4 7-5London · grassW2-6 6-4 6-3Madrid Masters · clay
vs Svrcina D.#119W7-6(4) 6-4Hangzhou · hardL3-6 6-3 5-7Shanghai Masters · hard
vs Faria J.#57Hard to compareW6-3 6-4Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · hardW7-6 6-4Rio de Janeiro · clay

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Etcheverry T. leads 1–0

Etcheverry T.September 2025HangzhouHard6-1 6-4

Evidence

Hijikata R.Etcheverry T.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–54–6

Season win rate56% (40–32)52% (29–27)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19381933

Hard-court ELO18061775

Serve vs returnLast 63 vs 55 matches

1st-serve points won70%73%

Return points won37%34%

Aces / match4.86.3

ClutchLast 63 vs 55 matches

Break points saved61%59%

When it starts

COURT 1 · Next on · Not before 2:00 PM

1This match: Hijikata R. v Etcheverry T.This match
2Borges N. v Buse I.Followed by
3Struff J. v Ruud C.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 1 · 14:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast10°C · Overcast

Wind7 km/h

Humidity57%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Hijikata R.Etcheverry T.

1Days since last match1

4Matches · 7 days2

82Games · 7 days58

7Matches · 14 days3

153Games · 14 days77

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-05/etcheverry-vs-hijikata-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 5 November 2026).