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Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 32

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisR32HardWed 4 Nov · ~15:45COURT CENTRALLive
Odds

No breaks in the 3rd

Novak Djokovic faces Rinky Hijikata in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 32 on hard. Novak Djokovic is the paper favourite — ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 330-point hard Elo advantage — but Rinky Hijikata rides a 3-match win streak.

Key context

Live Win Probability

i
LIVE
—Djokovic N.
—Hijikata R.
Novak DjokovicRinky Hijikata
Serve flowDjokovic N. broken once · Hijikata R. broken twice.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Djokovic N.
8/9Hijikata R.
7/9
Set 1Set 2Set 3

Match momentum

Last 30 pointsDjokovic N.Hijikata R.
EvenDjokovic N.Hijikata R.
Swinging toDjokovic N.18
5Last 12 points7
8Last 3 games11
2/7Break points1/4
30 pointsNow

Break of serve

Live statistics · Serve vs return

Djokovic N.Hijikata R.
Serve
  • 7Aces3
  • 2Double faults1
  • 76%1st serve points won69%
  • 89% · 8/9Service games held78% · 7/9
Return
  • 25%Break points won0%
  • 2Breaks of serve1

Key moments

Latest first
  1. SETSet 2 · Game 9Hijikata R. took the set
  2. HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 9Hijikata R. held to love
  3. BREAKSet 2 · Game 8Hijikata R. broke serve
  4. HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 4Djokovic N. held to love
  5. SETSet 1 · Game 8Djokovic N. took the set
  6. BREAKSet 1 · Game 7Djokovic N. broke serve
  7. HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 6Djokovic N. held to love
  8. HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 2Djokovic N. held to love
  9. BREAKSet 1 · Game 1Djokovic N. broke serve
Pre-match context

Djokovic N. came in with the higher hard rating (2146 vs 1785), the better recent record (7–3 vs 5–5) and the head-to-head lead (2–0).

Pre-match prediction

Set before the first ball · not updated in play
Pre-match win probability
75%25%
Umpiry Score
6.6/10/104.7
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probability
ELO2 269
Hard ELO2 146
Last 107–3
Age39
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $194.7M2026 $3.0M
ELO1 917
Hard ELO1 785
Last 105–5
Age25
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.4M2026 $815K

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Djokovic N. and Hijikata R. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Djokovic N. went 6–1 (86%) against them, Hijikata R. 2–5 (29%). Djokovic N. came out clearly better against 5 of 7 comparable opponents, Hijikata R. against 1.

6–186%Djokovic N. · better vs 5Record vs common opponents2–529%Hijikata R. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
17–7Sets6–13
134–102Games79–108
3–2Tiebreaks1–0
3–1Deciding sets1–0
Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Djokovic N. leads 2–0
20

Season statistics

Form · Rating · Serve vs return · Clutch
ShowHide
Djokovic N.Hijikata R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate72% (23–9) (ahead)55% (39–32)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2269 (ahead)1917
Hard-court ELO2146 (ahead)1785
Serve vs returnLast 31 vs 62 matches
1st-serve points won75% (ahead)70%
Return points won36%37% (ahead)
Aces / match8.4 (ahead)4.8
ClutchLast 31 vs 62 matches
Break points saved73% (ahead)60%

Draw

Conditions

COURT CENTRAL · ~15:45 local
SurfaceHard
Weather10°C · Overcast
Wind14 km/h
Humidity62%

Match info

  • Started~15:45 local

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Djokovic N.Hijikata R.
1Days since last match2 — fresher
3 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
99Games · 7 days79 — fresher
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
99 — fresherGames · 14 days127
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-04/djokovic-vs-hijikata-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 4 November 2026).