Felix Auger Aliassime vs Rinky HijikataUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWL
3 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
hard
Grandstand · 4th on
#85ATP
1748ELO
1694Hard ELO
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLLL
Auger Aliassime F.
7-5 4-6 6-3 7-5
Hijikata R.
Auger Aliassime F.
74673
Hijikata R.
56351

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Rinky Hijikata in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 4-6, 6-3, 7-5. Auger Aliassime hit 17 aces and committed 11 double faults, while Hijikata had 5 aces and 7 double faults; Auger Aliassime converted 46% of break points and Hijikata 50%, with Auger Aliassime securing 6 service breaks to Hijikata's 4.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.8
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
75
50
Break points saved·Clear edge
99
86
Break points won·Clear edge
31
12
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
68
Tiebreaks·Even
98
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Auger Aliassime F.85%
Hijikata R.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Auger Aliassime F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+238 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1694
7.6Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1748
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
90

Auger Aliassime F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 38 games (7d) · Hijikata R.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 81%

Draw