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Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 32

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisR32HardWed 4 Nov · 15:30COURT 1Live
Odds

Borges N. a break up in the 1stBorges N. unbroken · Khachanov K. broken once

Nuno Borges faces Karen Khachanov in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 32 on hard. Karen Khachanov holds the paper edge — ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Live Win Probability

i
LIVE
—Borges N.
—Khachanov K.
Nuno BorgesKaren Khachanov
Serve flowBorges N. unbroken · Khachanov K. broken once.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Borges N.
2/2Khachanov K.
1/2
Set 1

Match momentum

Last 20 pointsBorges N.Khachanov K.
EvenBorges N.Khachanov K.
Swinging toBorges N.32
7Last 12 points5
9Last 3 games7
1/1Break points0/0
30 pointsNow

Break of serve

Live statistics · Serve vs return

Borges N.Khachanov K.
Serve
  • 100% · 2/2Service games held50% · 1/2
Return
  • 1Breaks of serve0

Key moments

Latest first
  1. BREAKSet 1 · Game 4Borges N. broke serve
Pre-match context

Khachanov K. came in with the higher hard rating (1906 vs 1830), the better recent record (6–4 vs 5–5) and the head-to-head lead (2–0).

Pre-match prediction

Set before the first ball · not updated in play
Pre-match win probability
40%60%
Umpiry Score
4.5/10/106.3
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probability
ELO1 985
Hard ELO1 830
Last 105–5
Age29
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.9M2026 $1.5M
ELO2 054
Hard ELO1 906
Last 106–4
Age30
Height198 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $23.5M2026 $1.4M

Common opponents

11 shared · last 12 months

Borges N. and Khachanov K. faced 11 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Borges N. went 8–8 (50%) against them, Khachanov K. 7–5 (58%). Results against comparable opponents are close (4 : 4 better-results split).

8–850%Borges N. · better vs 4Record vs common opponents7–558%Khachanov K. · better vs 4
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
19–22Sets22–14
188–203Games194–151
1–4Tiebreaks0–5
3–3Deciding sets1–3
Show 8 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Khachanov K. leads 2–0
02

Grass: Khachanov K. leads 1–0 · Clay: Khachanov K. leads 1–0

Season statistics

Form · Rating · Serve vs return · Clutch
ShowHide
Borges N.Khachanov K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate51% (31–30)54% (28–24) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19852054 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO18301906 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 59 vs 50 matches
1st-serve points won74%75% (ahead)
Return points won36%36%
Aces / match6.77.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 59 vs 50 matches
Break points saved65%70% (ahead)

Draw

Conditions

COURT 1 · 15:30 local
SurfaceHard
Weather9°C · Rain
Wind15 km/h
Humidity63%

Match info

  • Started15:30 local

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Borges N.Khachanov K.
1Days since last match2 — fresher
5Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
109Games · 7 days27 — fresher
6Matches · 14 days4 — fresher
125Games · 14 days117 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-04/borges-vs-khachanov-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 4 November 2026).