Karen Khachanov vs Learner TienUS Open Round of 16

US Open · ATP · Round of 16
#50ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLWWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 ·
hard
Louis Armstrong Stadium · 4th on
#15ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWWW
Khachanov K.
7-5 4-6 6-7 6-1 6-4
Tien L.
Khachanov K.
7466663
Tien L.
5678142

Karen Khachanov defeated Learner Tien in the Round of 16 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 4-6, 6-7, 6-1, 6-4. Khachanov converted 75% of his break points and won 9 service breaks to Tien's 5.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Karen Khachanov came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 4–6 6–7 6–1 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.5
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
91
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
92
Break points won·Slight edge
81
88
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Khachanov K.28%
Tien L.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tien L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
6.5+121 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1941
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
47
41

Khachanov K.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 117 games (7d) · Tien L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 128 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw