Jakub Mensik vs Learner TienUS Open Round of 32

US Open · ATP · Round of 32
#18ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWL
2 — 3
Sets
Sunday, 6 September 2026 ·
hard
#15ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Mensik J.
3-6 6-1 7-6 3-6 4-6
Tien L.
Mensik J.
3677342
Tien L.
6162663

Learner Tien defeated Jakub Mensik in the Round of 32 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 1-6, 6-7, 6-3, 6-4. Tien converted 50% of his break points and made 6 service breaks, edging out Mensik who converted 45% of his break points and made 5 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • He is incredibly under the radar and very good first round win beating Borges, is fast Learner. Then easy against Monfils, I think he's got a very great draw to the quarter-finals.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

  • Match story: Learner Tien closed it out in five sets, 6–3 1–6 6–7 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-18Next Gen FinalsRRhardLearner Tien4-3 4-3 2-4 2-4 4-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.5
7.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.3
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
91
Break points saved·Even
96
92
Break points won·Dominant
50
88
Deciding sets·Clear edge
87
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Mensik J.49%
Tien L.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1893
Surface ELO
5.1+11 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1941
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
62
41

Mensik J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 83 games (7d) · Tien L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 128 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 81%

Draw