Learner Tien vs Ben SheltonMontreal Semi-final

Montreal · ATP · Semi-final
#12ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#6ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Tien L.
2-6 3-6
Shelton B.
Tien L.
230
Shelton B.
662

Ben Shelton defeated Learner Tien in the Montreal semifinals, winning 6-2, 6-3 on hard courts. Shelton hit 5 aces and 1 double fault, while Tien had 1 ace and 5 double faults. Shelton converted 60% of his break points and won 82% of his first-serve points, taking 3 service breaks to Tien's 0.

Around the match

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardLearner Tien7-6 4-6 6-3
2025-06-22MallorcaR16grassLearner Tien6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
60%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
31%
Break points saved·Clear edge
60%
74%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.7
11.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
100
Break points won·Dominant
88
47
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Tien L.44%
Shelton B.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1904
Surface ELO
5.2+17 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1941
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1960
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.57 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
61
77

Tien L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d) · Shelton B.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw