Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub MensikCincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 16
#50ATP
1741ELO
1636Hard ELO
$730kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 3 · 2nd on
#16ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWLW
Tirante T.
5-7 6-4 6-4
Mensik J.
Tirante T.
5662
Mensik J.
7441

Thiago Agustin Tirante defeated Jakub Mensik in the Round of 16 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 5-7, 6-4, 6-4 in favor of Tirante. Key stats included 8 aces and 2 double faults for Tirante, compared to 9 aces and 6 double faults for Mensik.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.4
11.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
40
85
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
96
Break points won·Dominant
15
71
Deciding sets·Even
91
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
18
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Tirante T.26%
Mensik J.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mensik J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1636
Surface ELO
8.2+257 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
60
67

Tirante T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d) · Mensik J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw