Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin TiranteMontreal Round of 32

Montreal · ATP · Round of 32
#139ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$573kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 8 August 2026 ·
hard
ROGERS COURT · 4th on
#65ATP
1741ELO
1636Hard ELO
$730kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWLW
Popyrin A.
3-6 4-6
Tirante T.
Popyrin A.
340
Tirante T.
662

Thiago Agustin Tirante defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the Montreal hard-court tournament. Tirante hit 9 aces to Popyrin's 3 and converted 67% of his break points, compared to Popyrin's 0%. Tirante won 81% of his first-serve points to Popyrin's 66%, and he secured 2 service breaks to Popyrin's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.0
8.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
49
35
Break points saved·Clear edge
97
74
Break points won·Clear edge
1
14
Deciding sets·Clear edge
67
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Popyrin A.50%
Tirante T.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+44 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1636
5.0Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1741
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.76 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
60
66

Popyrin A.: played today · 4 matches, 84 games (7d) · Tirante T.: played today · 3 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw