Nuno Borges vs Learner TienUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#41ATP
1769ELO
1714Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
0 — 3
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
hard
Stadium 17 · 4th on
#15ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Borges N.
4-6 1-6 2-6
Tien L.
Borges N.
4120
Tien L.
6663

Learner Tien defeated Nuno Borges in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-1, 6-2 in favor of Tien. Tien and Borges each served one ace, Tien had zero double faults while Borges had five, Tien converted 38% of break points and Borges converted 50%, and Tien achieved six service breaks to Borges' one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Learner Tien came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 6–1 6–2.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardLearner Tien7-6 6-4 6-2
2025-10-27Paris MastersR64hardLearner Tien6-2 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.4
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
91
Break points saved·Even
93
92
Break points won·Dominant
23
88
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
54
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Borges N.28%
Tien L.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tien L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1714
Surface ELO
7.4+190 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1769
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1941
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
41

Borges N.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tien L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 128 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw