Jannik Sinner vs Learner TienIndian Wells Masters Quarter-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#17ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Sinner J.
6-1 6-2
Tien L.
Sinner J.
662
Tien L.
120

Jannik Sinner defeated Learner Tien 6-1 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-25BeijingFhardJannik Sinner6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Tien L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Tien L.
100
Serve
32
100
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
81%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
60%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
61%
Aces / match·Even
9.0
8.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
90
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Clear edge
100
83
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.8+359 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.2Hard Elo 1904
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1941
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.7
Surface form
6.8
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.8
Country comfort
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
89

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Tien L.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%