Daniil Medvedev vs Learner TienShanghai Masters Round of 16

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#17ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Medvedev D.
7-6 6-7 6-4
Tien L.
Medvedev D.
786162
Tien L.
667741

Daniil Medvedev defeated Learner Tien 7-6 6-7 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, defending last year's quarter-final. Daniil Medvedev claimed a first win over Learner Tien in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardLearner Tien6-4 6-0 6-3
2025-09-25BeijingSFhardLearner Tien5-7 7-5 4-0 RET
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardLearner Tien6-3 7-6(4) 6-7(8) 1-6 7-6(7)

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Tien L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Tien L.
47
Serve
32
94
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.0
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
4.1
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
90
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Clear edge
99
83
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.1+58 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1904
6.2Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1941
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.6
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.3
Minutes 14d
0.0
7.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.4
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
87

Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Tien L.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%