

Learner Tien defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-4 6-0 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #8, defending last year's round of 64, but Learner Tien had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard. Learner Tien extended the head-to-head to 3–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | R16 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6 6-7 6-4 |
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | SF | hard | Learner Tien | 5-7 7-5 4-0 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | R64 | hard | Learner Tien | 6-3 7-6 6-7 1-6 7-6 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Tien L.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Medvedev D.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About