UMPIRY
EN

Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Quarter-final

Ningbo Open - NingboQuarter-finalHardFri 23 Oct · 16:00Center Court · After 2 matches
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Jovic I.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Shnaider D.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+14 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Jovic I.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1906Against the prediction · Jovic I.
Recent run2-match win streakSupports Shnaider D.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Jovic I.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO2 027
Hard ELO1 840
Last 108–2
Age18
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $2.7M
ELO2 040
Hard ELO1 877
Last 107–3
Age22
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $7.2M2026 $3.0M

Iva Jovic faces Diana Shnaider in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo quarter-final on hard. Iva Jovic holds the paper edge — ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

21 shared · last 12 months

Jovic I. and Shnaider D. faced 21 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Jovic I. went 15–11 (58%) against them, Shnaider D. 18–9 (67%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 6 better-results split).

15–1158%Jovic I. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents18–967%Shnaider D. · better vs 6
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
34–23Sets39–20
271–236Games311–244
2–1Tiebreaks3–2
2–4Deciding sets3–4
Show 18 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Jovic I. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Jovic I.Shnaider D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)7–3
Season win rate66% (43–22) (ahead)62% (34–21)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO20272040 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO18401877 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 62 vs 54 matches
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)64%
Return points won46% (ahead)45%
Aces / match2.3 (ahead)1.4
ClutchLast 62 vs 54 matches
Break points saved57%57%

When it starts

Center Court · After 2 matches · Not before 4:00 PM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Center Court · 16:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast22°C · Drizzle
Wind19 km/h
Humidity81%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Jovic I.Shnaider D.
7 — fresherDays since last match2
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
17 — fresherGames · 7 days66
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
34 — fresherGames · 14 days98
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-23/jovic-vs-shnaider-ningbo-open-ningbo-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 23 October 2026).