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Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Quarter-final

Ningbo Open - NingboQuarter-finalHardFri 23 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
43%57%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bejlek S.5.9/10
Even match
Bouzkova M.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+50 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bouzkova M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1871Supports Bouzkova M.
Recent run2-match win streakBoth players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 912
Hard ELO1 773
Last 105–5
Age20
Height163 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $2.3M2026 $1.3M
ELO1 977
Hard ELO1 793
Last 107–3
Age28
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $8.5M2026 $2.2M

Sara Bejlek faces Marie Bouzkova in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo quarter-final on hard. Marie Bouzkova holds the paper edge — ranked #26, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

10 shared · last 12 months

Bejlek S. and Bouzkova M. faced 10 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Bejlek S. went 4–10 (29%) against them, Bouzkova M. 7–4 (64%). Bouzkova M. came out clearly better against 6 of 10 comparable opponents, Bejlek S. against 0 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).

4–1029%Bejlek S. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents7–464%Bouzkova M. · better vs 6
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
9–20Sets15–12
113–145Games137–124
0–3Tiebreaks5–3
1–0Deciding sets4–1
Show 7 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bejlek S.Bouzkova M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (26–21)61% (35–22) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19121977 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17731793 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 44 vs 54 matches
1st-serve points won61%65% (ahead)
Return points won45%45%
Aces / match1.21.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 44 vs 54 matches
Break points saved55%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast21°C · Showers
Wind12 km/h
Humidity83%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Bejlek S.Bouzkova M.
1Days since last match1
2Matches · 7 days2
51Games · 7 days40 — fresher
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
70Games · 14 days70
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-23/bejlek-vs-bouzkova-ningbo-open-ningbo-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 23 October 2026).