Iga Swiatek vs Marie Bouzkova — US Open Round of 32

US Open · WTA · Round of 32
Iga Swiatek
POL8
Iga Swiatek
#8WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 5 September 2026 ·
hard
Grandstand · 2nd on
Marie Bouzkova
CZE25
Marie Bouzkova
#26WTA
1871ELO
1798Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWWL
Swiatek I.
7-6 7-6
Bouzkova M.
Swiatek I.
7772
Bouzkova M.
6360

Iga Swiatek defeated Marie Bouzkova in the Round of 32 at the US Open. The match ended with a 7-6, 7-6 victory for Swiatek. Both players converted 3 service breaks and Swiatek had 1 ace and 2 double faults, while Bouzkova had 0 aces and 4 double faults.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • “It got pretty physical. Many long rallies, and sometimes I had to attack many times because Marie was defending really well. I just wanted to be solid and play one more ball in and not aim too much.”

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “I tried not to think of these points as set points. I tried to play them as I would any other point. I didn't want to create too much pressure.”

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

3–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR64hardIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2025-10-06WuhanR32hardIga Swiatek6-1 6-1
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayIga Swiatek6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Swiatek I.Bouzkova M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
49%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Swiatek I.Bouzkova M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
43
Break points saved·Dominant
87
47
Break points won·Slight edge
100
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
39
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Swiatek I.82%
Bouzkova M.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Swiatek I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Swiatek I.
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Bouzkova M.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+223 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1798
7.4Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1871
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
8.89 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
7.0Reached the quarters here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Swiatek I.Bouzkova M.
Freshness·Slight edge
73
83

Swiatek I.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Bouzkova M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw