Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng — US Open Round of 16
POL8
CHNQ
Swiatek I.
Qinwen Zheng defeated Iga Swiatek in the Round of 16 at the US Open, advancing with a 7-5, 6-3 victory. Zheng hit one ace and one double fault, while converting 43% of her break points and securing three service breaks. Swiatek finished with no aces and two double faults, converting 40% of her break points and securing two service breaks.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
Around the match
Zheng produced a stunning comeback from 5-0 down in the third set against Keys, becoming the lowest-ranked singles player (No. 121) to reach the US Open Round of 16.
Umpiry summary — not a quote
Zheng Q.WTA Tennis ↗“I didn't have good timing. I wasn't hitting the ball right. It's tough to get over that when it happens. And maybe I could have played safer or something, but I also didn't feel like I had space with Qinwen to do that.”
Swiatek I.WTA Tennis ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.
Key context
- Match story: Qinwen Zheng closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.
Head to head
7–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells | QF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | SF | clay | Qinwen Zheng | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2024-02-19 | Dubai | QF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-01-01 | United Cup | QF | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Iga Swiatek | 3-6 6-1 6-1 |
| 2023-04-17 | Stuttgart | R16 | clay | Iga Swiatek | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2022-10-10 | San Diego | R16 | hard | Iga Swiatek | 6-4 4-6 6-1 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | R16 | clay | Iga Swiatek | 6-7 6-0 6-2 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Swiatek I. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadSwiatek I.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Zheng Q.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About