Elena Rybakina vs Qinwen ZhengDoha Round of 16

Doha · WTA · Round of 16
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 8 February 2026
hard
#138WTA
1852ELO
1832Hard ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLW
Rybakina E.
4-6 6-2 7-5
Zheng Q.
Rybakina E.
4672
Zheng Q.
6251

Elena Rybakina defeated Qinwen Zheng 4-6 6-2 7-5 in the Doha round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR32clayElena Rybakina4-6 6-4 6-3
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardQinwen Zheng7-6(4) 3-6 6-1
2023-10-02BeijingR64hardElena Rybakina6-1 6-2
2022-06-27WimbledonR32grassElena Rybakina7-6(4) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Zheng Q.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Zheng Q.
100
Serve
34
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
9.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
93
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 137 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.5+278 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1832
8.4Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1852
4.6
H2H
5.4
9.3
Surface form
6.5
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
98

Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Zheng Q.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw