Elena Rybakina vs Qinwen Zheng — Madrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
Elena Rybakina
KAZ2
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 21 April 2026
clay
Qinwen Zheng
CHN32
Qinwen Zheng
#138WTA
1852ELO
1811Clay ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLWL
Rybakina E.
4-6 6-4 6-3
Zheng Q.
Rybakina E.
4662
Zheng Q.
6431

Elena Rybakina defeated Qinwen Zheng 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

3–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaR16hardElena Rybakina4-6 6-2 7-5
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardQinwen Zheng7-6(4) 3-6 6-1
2023-10-02BeijingR64hardElena Rybakina6-1 6-2
2022-06-27WimbledonR32grassElena Rybakina7-6(4) 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Zheng Q.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rybakina E.Zheng Q.
100
Serve
—
9
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Zheng Q.
1st serve in·Even
60%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.8
9.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Zheng Q.
Clutch Rating·Even
92
93
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Zheng Q.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.3+190 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Clay Elo 1811
8.4Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1852
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.3
Surface form
7.7
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Zheng Q.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
99

Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Zheng Q.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw

Final
Kostyuk M.[26]
Andreeva M.[9]
6-37-5
Semi-finals
Andreeva M.[9]
Baptiste H.[30]
6-47-68
Kostyuk M.[26]
Potapova A.
6-21-66-1
Quarter-finals
Kostyuk M.[26]
Noskova L.[13]
7-616-0
Potapova A.
Pliskova K.
6-16-746-3
Baptiste H.[30]
Sabalenka A.[1]
2-66-27-66
Andreeva M.[9]
Fernandez L.[24]
7-616-3
R16
Sabalenka A.[1]
Osaka N.[14]
6-716-36-2
Noskova L.[13]
Gauff C.[3]
6-41-67-65
Andreeva M.[9]
Bondar A.
6-756-37-65
Kostyuk M.[26]
Mcnally C.
6-26-3
Baptiste H.[30]
Bencic B.[11]
6-16-7146-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Li A.[31]
6-36-2
Pliskova K.
Sierra S.
6-46-3
Potapova A.
Rybakina E.[2]
7-686-4
R32
Noskova L.[13]
Samsonova L.[20]
W/O
Li A.[31]
Swiatek I.[4]
7-642-63-0
Pliskova K.
Mertens E.[19]
7-52-67-63
Andreeva M.[9]
Galfi D.
6-36-2
Bondar A.
Samson L.
7-636-1
Mcnally C.
Siniakova K.
6-32-67-62
Sierra S.
Sonmez Z.
0-66-26-3
Kostyuk M.[26]
Pegula J.[5]
6-16-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Zheng Q.[32]
4-66-46-3
Bencic B.[11]
Shnaider D.[18]
6-27-66
Gauff C.[3]
Cirstea S.[25]
4-67-56-1
Baptiste H.[30]
Paolini J.[8]
7-56-3
Potapova A.
Ostapenko J.[21]
4-66-46-4
Fernandez L.[24]
Jovic I.[15]
3-66-36-2
Osaka N.[14]
Kalinina A.
6-16-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Cristian J.[29]
6-16-4
R64
Fernandez L.[24]
Grabher J.
6-26-3
Paolini J.[8]
Siegemund L.
3-66-26-4
Pliskova K.
Sakkari M.[33]
6-47-66
Osaka N.[14]
Osorio C.
6-27-5
Cirstea S.[25]
Grant T.
6-27-65
Baptiste H.[30]
Quevedo K.
6-16-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Tjen J.
6-26-1
Kostyuk M.[26]
Putintseva Y.
6-16-3
Sierra S.
Frech M.[34]
6-26-4
Bencic B.[11]
Marcinko P.
6-46-2
Rybakina E.[2]
Ruse E.
4-66-37-5
Kalinina A.
Bouzkova M.[23]
6-46-3
Pegula J.[5]
Boulter K.
6-46-4
Galfi D.
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-36-3
Zheng Q.[32]
Kenin S.
1-66-36-3
Gauff C.[3]
Jeanjean L.
6-36-0
Sonmez Z.
Bucsa C.[27]
6-16-746-2
Noskova L.[13]
Arango E.
6-36-2
Jovic I.[15]
Linette M.
6-46-1
Mcnally C.
Mboko V.[10]
6-46-1
Shnaider D.[18]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-56-1
Samson L.
Wang X.[28]
2-66-36-0
Ostapenko J.[21]
Waltert S.
6-27-5
Potapova A.
Zhang S.
6-36-1
Swiatek I.[4]
Snigur D.
6-16-2
Li A.[31]
Parks A.
6-26-756-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stearns P.
7-56-3
Mertens E.[19]
Eala A.
6-26-1
Cristian J.[29]
Starodubtseva Y.
3-67-656-4
Andreeva M.[9]
Udvardy P.
7-56-2
Bondar A.
Svitolina E.[7]
6-36-4
Siniakova K.
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
R128
Sierra S.
Yastremska D.
7-6107-68
Sonmez Z.
Martinez Cirez C.
7-56-2
Pliskova K.
Kraus S.
2-66-16-4
Zhang S.
Lys E.
6-46-3
Putintseva Y.
Valentova T.
6-44-66-3
Stearns P.
Boisson L.
6-16-3
Siniakova K.
Kalieva E.
6-36-4
Bondar A.
Golubic V.
6-26-3
Eala A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-3
Siegemund L.
Begu I.
6-46-0
Marcinko P.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-07-5
Grabher J.
Badosa P.
7-634-66-0
Ruse E.
Ruzic A.
6-34-66-0
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
6-25-76-2
Jeanjean L.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-1
Kenin S.
Krueger A.
7-626-4
Samson L.
Maria T.
6-46-2
Boulter K.
Townsend T.
6-46-2
Galfi D.
Tomljanovic A.
7-676-4
Arango E.
Gibson T.
6-36-2
Linette M.
Montgomery R.
6-46-3
Quevedo K.
Williams V.
6-26-4
Osorio C.
Zakharova A.
6-06-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Uchijima M.
6-31-66-3
Snigur D.
Kasatkina D.
6-33-67-613
Waltert S.
Oliynykova O.
7-56-0
Udvardy P.
Birrell K.
6-41-66-1
Parks A.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-2
Mcnally C.
Volynets K.
6-16-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Haddad Maia B.
6-16-1
Tjen J.
Charaeva A.
6-46-2
Grant T.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-2