Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen ZhengAthens Quarter-final

Athens · WTA · Quarter-final
#32WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWLWWW
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
hard
#135WTA
1852ELO
1832Hard ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLWLLL
Krejcikova B.
vs
Zheng Q.

Barbora Krejcikova faces Qinwen Zheng in the Athens quarter-final on hard. Qinwen Zheng holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–0.

Around the match

  • She is happy with her improved form and expresses her desire to become a more well-rounded player.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Krejcikova B.46%
Zheng Q.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1820
Surface ELO
5.2+12 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1874
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1852
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

7 vs 9 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
9.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Krejcikova B.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Zheng Q.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Krejcikova B.

Serve advantage — Krejcikova B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
93
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Slight edge
92
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
88
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on hard

Krejcikova B.Zheng Q.
39
Serve
57
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
81

Krejcikova B.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Zheng Q.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsSFhardQinwen Zheng6-3 7-5
2023-10-09ZhengzhouFhardQinwen Zheng2-6 6-2 6-4